Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Predictions for 2011

I think that they are going to be right in saying that BlueRay and DVD are over and when they said that Apple will dominate the tablet market. First off, I never thought their was a giant market for the BlueRay. I don't think this is the end of DVDs, however. The way I see it is that they are the same thing, the only difference is the space a disk can hold and the price of buying a $500 BlueRay player that isn't that much different than a $30 DVD player. I think the next thing that will actually catch on is services such as netflix that people can stream videos from the Internet onto their gaming console or PC.

I also think Apple will dominate the tablet market. Tablet PCs aren't a new thing, but they haven't caught on until last year when the iPad was released. Right now, if I were to say "tablet" the first thing that pops into every one's head is "apple". This isn't the future though; this has already happened.

I don't think that tablet PCs will become bigger than laptops. Two things I don't like about Tablets are the touch screens and that the screens are prone to scratches. When I first heard about the iPad I thought it would only catch on with older people who could never figure out the keyboard and mouse.

I also don't agree with using your smart phone to pay for things. It's not that people don't want smart phones, but I would imagine it would cost quite a bit of money to install these scanners.

Out of the predictions for news media, I think the two that are most likely to come true are Wikileaks being shut down and the rise of interactive TV. I'm surprised such a controversial site such as Wikileaks hasn't already been shut down. I know it can release or do good things, but for the most part I think it's just causing trouble. I could also see Sweden creating new laws to shut down sites like Wikileaks and The Pirates Bay. I also think that interactive TV will really take off. One of the main problems with TV now is that you don't have much control over what you're watching right now. You do have plenty of options with hundreds of channels, but I still can't watch Golden Girls at 2am. Netflix is already a big hit with movies, but interactive TV is going to be the next big thing.

I highly doubt that there won't be a need for a foreign correspondent. People in poor countries won't be posting about what happened in the time of a storm from their smartphones. I would think that news companies would almost need a reliable source of information if they want to be the first news company to bring the news to their viewers. I don't think that magazines will completely switch away from paper and go totally computer. It doesn't make sense for a company to target an audience of people who already have the same thing they offer. At most there might be 2 or 3 magazines on a subject on the iPad.

In my opinion, I think 3D TV and movies will begin to die off this year. It's a gimmick and it seems like all these movies are jumping on the 3D bandwagon. I think it will most likely die off as a fad.

I also think, if interactive TV takes off, that there will be an interactive news outlet that lets people talk about the news they're watching on their TV and save clips they feel important. I know that at my house for example, news is a thing often watched. People already sends news clips through e-mails to each other and it would be convened to combine the two.

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